Posted: Mon Jun 29, 2009 1:15 pm
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Terrific! And the response was to the line-Lyon wrote:So that there isn't a long, pregnant pause here, I'm responding that I'll read your paper and afterwards will edit this post with the response.
Bob
Thanks, Bob. Now that you've read the paper, I can address your questions from the vascular viewpoint. Remember, I understand venous occlusions/stenosis to be congenital, and the endothelial disrupters to be the variable in the equation. This is only a theorum....Lyon wrote:
Interesting paper. I like and respect, but disagree, with the line of reasoning. Not to seem dense or persistent for the sake of being annoying, but how does any of that prove "cause" even if CCSVI is found in 100% of people with MS?
Bob
Aside from genetic propensity in northern European populations to venous insufficiency (chronic venous insufficiency is more common in this population) endothelial disrupters of modern living as noted in paper.Considering that MS was so rare as to be almost unheard of before the 20th century what led to the drastically increased incidence of CCSVI/MS rate in the "developed" populations, yet left the MS incidence to remain almost unheard of in the undeveloped populations?
Again, genetic predisposition (the Faroese are northern European) to venous stenosis with added endothelial dysfunction created by industrialization, mining, higher viral rates due to intercourse with British -STDs- see paperWhat factors of the British occupation led to the CCSVI/MS outbreaks among the previously unaffected Faroese natives?
Genetic predisposition + higher incidence areas tend to be at higher elevations, ie: Colorado (affecting nitric oxide/oxygen balance) with less sunshine (affecting vitamin D) both create endothelial disruptionHow is CCSVI responsible for the fact that someone migrating from a low MS incidence area to a high MS incidence area before the age of 14 will share the lifetime incidence rate of the area they migrated to and how is CCSVI responsible for the fact that someone migrating from a low MS incidence area to a high incidence area after the age of 14 will enjoy the low MS incidence rate of the area they migrated from?
Less opportunity for MS diagnosis in impoverished communities, more exposure to endothelial disrupters in developed communities...wealthier people have access to alcohol, cigarettes, processed food, chemicals- all change nitric oxide balance.How is CCSVI responsible for low MS incidence among indigent populations who live in close proximity to genetically similar populations living in "developed" conditions with much higher MS rates?
How is CCSVI responsible for the increasing MS incidence among groups which, not too long ago, were considered not to have the genetic predisposition? (worldwide aboriginals, minorities in the developed populations, increasing oriental and populations on the African continent)
No it doesn't. While I've been viewing the CCSVI theory with some healthy skepticism, if it proves out by showing refuced relapse rates and improved MRIs, I really don't care what happened on the Faroe Islands 60 years ago, or what happens in the southern hemisphere.Lyon wrote: Proving that something is the cause of MS requires ALL of the pieces of the to fit, not just some, but I honor your efforts and I agree that it's still early and research in that regards continues.
Actually you've gone further than this:Lyon wrote: What I've done my best to point out and what keeps getting overlooked is that I'm NOT saying that CCSVI isn't something to hold high hopes for or that treating CCSVI can't offer improvement in MS, but that CCSVI is far from being proven the "cause" of MS and even if it's shown to have 100% association with MS and even if treating it does offer symptom relief doesn't prove or even strongly hint causation.
Again....Proving that something is the cause of MS requires ALL of the pieces of the puzzle to fit, not just some
Although they are theories, there have been reasons put forth to consider how CCSVI might cause MS. Although the CCSVI theory has been pushed pretty hard in this forum, from what I have seen, no one is saying this is definitely the cause of MS. But I don't see how it can be dismissed either. True, it doesn't fit with all the pieces of the puzzle. But science rarely does. Maybe some day it will. But, if you're waiting for some grand unified theory of MS, which answers all the questions, I'm afraid you'll be waiting for a very long time.but that there is no reason to consider CCSVI the "cause" of MS.
Thanks for that point, Marie. Epidemiology- the study of "what is upon the people"- is meant to help us understand where to look for causation. It is not meant to be construed as puzzle pieces that must fit for an answer as to cause. These environmental studies were merely made to illumine the path, but they are not the path itself.Epidemiological evidence is the WEAKEST form of science. Epidemiology is the starting point for something to give you and idea where to look for your problem, not the ending point. So, when you talk about migration or increasing incidences of MS, you do not know why those things are happening only that they do happen.